State and territory forecasts


The following charts show the differences between these Covid- based forecasts and the base (pre-Covid) forecasts in terms of net overseas and net interstate migration.

Historically, NSW and Victoria take the majority of Australia’s net overseas migration and are therefore most heavily affected by the dramatic decrease over the next few years. Both states however experience less loss through interstate migration.

The combined impact of migration from 2020 to 2041 in the new forecasts compared to the base sees NSW, Victoria and Queensland all receive more than 200,000 fewer persons in net terms.

Net overseas migration of major states

Baseline vs post-covid forecasts

Net interstate migration

Baseline vs post-covid forecasts